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Sports Book Has Surprise Clubs As Contenders

Sunday, June 20th, 2010

When you look at the Major League Baseball standings and get ready to make a bet on baseball at the sportsbook you will see some surprise clubs.

Every year you can find shocks in baseball and some of these clubs carry on their achievement against the sportsbook online odds all year. Which clubs are likely to carry on their early season achievement this year?

At least one squad with a loser history from the previous season made the playoffs the next year in 14 of the last 15 years. There are five clubs that look like they could stay in the hunt and make the playoffs after losing last year. The San Diego Padres, Cincinnati Reds, Toronto Blue Jays, New York Mets and Oakland Athletics are all in the mix. What’re the probabilities for each one of these clubs?

Almost anyone is hugely surprised by San Diego this season. This Padre squad was meant to be awful and in dead last. They happen to be in first place instead nearly all season. Could they stay there? Chances are the answer is no. They’ve got the 5th-worst offense in the league and that just isn’t going to cut it. San Diego has to progress their hitting if they’re to stay in the hunt.

The Cincinnati Reds have also been a huge surprise this season but they have the hitting to stay there. The Reds are at the top of the league in runs and home runs. They have hammered the weaker teams of their division, Chicago, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh and Houston. You have to wonder whether or not they can manage St. Louis. The Reds have plenty of one-run wins and that fortune may run out before the season is over.

The Oakland Athletics happen to be a huge surprise and they play in a weak division. That is one reason they could hang around. However they simply don’t have a lot of a history of progressing pretty far in the season. Many times they’ve gotten first place in the AL West division, simply to lose straight away in the AL Division Series. Since 1905, they’ve made 23 playoff appearances. It’s not really an amazing history.

The Angels actually won a World Series in 2002 and have a somewhat better history than the Oakland Athletics. However, they’re not as great as last season, when they advanced through the playoffs before losing the AL Championship Series to the Yankees.

From just three existing MLB franchises who have never came out in the World Series, the Texas Rangers are one of them. And this season, they just cannot pitch.

Toronto has great pitching and robust hitting, but they compete in the American League East. If they were not stuck in a division with New York and Tampa Bay you may like their probabilities. But they’re in the AL East which means they’re prone to miss the playoffs again.

Philadelphia has had trouble, which is the sole reason the New York Mets are even in the discussion in any way. The Mets have Johan Santana and Mike Pelfrey. The roster is inconsistent and unless Carlos Beltran comes back and is superb, this team is going to fall.


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Friday MLB Betting Showdown of Florida

Friday, June 11th, 2010

Interleague action is on the MLB wagering board again with the war in Florida as the Marlins take on the Tampa Bay Rays.

In the opener of a three-game series on Friday, the Tampa Bay Rays will be favored in baseball betting at home.

Both the Tampa Bay Rays and the Marlins enter Friday’s Interleague series above .500 for the 2nd time in 11 years, and in division contention of their individual leagues.

MLB wagering probabilities like Tampa Bay on Friday with James Shields on the mound. Shields is 5-4 having a 3.64 ERA this year. He is anticipated to get the start on Friday and be matched up with Florida’s Nate Robertson who is 4-5 on the season having a 4.83 ERA. Robertson did not pitch very well last time out while he permitted 6 runs in a loss to the Mets. He hasn’t pitched great against Tampa Bay in his career as he is -4 having a 4.76 ERA. He’s -2 in his career at Tropicana Field having a 4.63 ERA.

Last time out against Texas, Shields lost his fourth match of the season. He permitted 6 runs but just 3 of them were earned. In 6 career starts against the Marlins, Shields is 2-1 having a 4.12 ERA. With a 26-16 record and a 3.44 ERA, Shields has been pretty excellent at home in his career.

The Rays have actually done nicely against the Marlins in MLB wagering. They have won eight of the last ten matches against Florida. Last year the Rays took five of the 6 matches against the Marlins which includes all 3 in Tampa Bay. Two of those 3 matches went under the total.

On the road, Florida has not actually played that well this season. They just don’t hit as well on the road and their pitching isn’t as excellent. So far this season they have performed poorly, however Florida has the ability to win matches on the road. They’re just average in hitting, ranking 14th in the league and they’re no better in pitching at 16th in the league.

Tampa Bay has actually been much better on the road this year than at home. The Rays still have a successful record at home however in baseball betting. In both hitting and in earned run average, the Tampa Bay Rays are in the Top 5 in the league. That is why they have the best record in the league. The Rays have a lineup loaded with ability, and they have one of the best starting rotations in the league.

In past seasons, an all-Florida series attracted very little attention beyond the 2 local markets. But the series may start to heat up with 2 of the Major’s youngest, skillful teams competing.

Rays manager Joe Maddonstated that everyone was attempting to turn this into a rivalry.”They’ve been better than we have in the past. They’ve already run their flag up. As we get better, I think at some point, where both teams are playing at a high level, I think you can grow it into one of those.”


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