Posts Tagged ‘mlb odds’

Sports Book Has Surprise Clubs As Contenders

Sunday, June 20th, 2010

When you look at the Major League Baseball standings and get ready to make a bet on baseball at the sportsbook you will see some surprise clubs.

Every year you can find shocks in baseball and some of these clubs carry on their achievement against the sportsbook online odds all year. Which clubs are likely to carry on their early season achievement this year?

At least one squad with a loser history from the previous season made the playoffs the next year in 14 of the last 15 years. There are five clubs that look like they could stay in the hunt and make the playoffs after losing last year. The San Diego Padres, Cincinnati Reds, Toronto Blue Jays, New York Mets and Oakland Athletics are all in the mix. What’re the probabilities for each one of these clubs?

Almost anyone is hugely surprised by San Diego this season. This Padre squad was meant to be awful and in dead last. They happen to be in first place instead nearly all season. Could they stay there? Chances are the answer is no. They’ve got the 5th-worst offense in the league and that just isn’t going to cut it. San Diego has to progress their hitting if they’re to stay in the hunt.

The Cincinnati Reds have also been a huge surprise this season but they have the hitting to stay there. The Reds are at the top of the league in runs and home runs. They have hammered the weaker teams of their division, Chicago, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh and Houston. You have to wonder whether or not they can manage St. Louis. The Reds have plenty of one-run wins and that fortune may run out before the season is over.

The Oakland Athletics happen to be a huge surprise and they play in a weak division. That is one reason they could hang around. However they simply don’t have a lot of a history of progressing pretty far in the season. Many times they’ve gotten first place in the AL West division, simply to lose straight away in the AL Division Series. Since 1905, they’ve made 23 playoff appearances. It’s not really an amazing history.

The Angels actually won a World Series in 2002 and have a somewhat better history than the Oakland Athletics. However, they’re not as great as last season, when they advanced through the playoffs before losing the AL Championship Series to the Yankees.

From just three existing MLB franchises who have never came out in the World Series, the Texas Rangers are one of them. And this season, they just cannot pitch.

Toronto has great pitching and robust hitting, but they compete in the American League East. If they were not stuck in a division with New York and Tampa Bay you may like their probabilities. But they’re in the AL East which means they’re prone to miss the playoffs again.

Philadelphia has had trouble, which is the sole reason the New York Mets are even in the discussion in any way. The Mets have Johan Santana and Mike Pelfrey. The roster is inconsistent and unless Carlos Beltran comes back and is superb, this team is going to fall.


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Friday MLB Betting Showdown of Florida

Friday, June 11th, 2010

Interleague action is on the MLB wagering board again with the war in Florida as the Marlins take on the Tampa Bay Rays.

In the opener of a three-game series on Friday, the Tampa Bay Rays will be favored in baseball betting at home.

Both the Tampa Bay Rays and the Marlins enter Friday’s Interleague series above .500 for the 2nd time in 11 years, and in division contention of their individual leagues.

MLB wagering probabilities like Tampa Bay on Friday with James Shields on the mound. Shields is 5-4 having a 3.64 ERA this year. He is anticipated to get the start on Friday and be matched up with Florida’s Nate Robertson who is 4-5 on the season having a 4.83 ERA. Robertson did not pitch very well last time out while he permitted 6 runs in a loss to the Mets. He hasn’t pitched great against Tampa Bay in his career as he is -4 having a 4.76 ERA. He’s -2 in his career at Tropicana Field having a 4.63 ERA.

Last time out against Texas, Shields lost his fourth match of the season. He permitted 6 runs but just 3 of them were earned. In 6 career starts against the Marlins, Shields is 2-1 having a 4.12 ERA. With a 26-16 record and a 3.44 ERA, Shields has been pretty excellent at home in his career.

The Rays have actually done nicely against the Marlins in MLB wagering. They have won eight of the last ten matches against Florida. Last year the Rays took five of the 6 matches against the Marlins which includes all 3 in Tampa Bay. Two of those 3 matches went under the total.

On the road, Florida has not actually played that well this season. They just don’t hit as well on the road and their pitching isn’t as excellent. So far this season they have performed poorly, however Florida has the ability to win matches on the road. They’re just average in hitting, ranking 14th in the league and they’re no better in pitching at 16th in the league.

Tampa Bay has actually been much better on the road this year than at home. The Rays still have a successful record at home however in baseball betting. In both hitting and in earned run average, the Tampa Bay Rays are in the Top 5 in the league. That is why they have the best record in the league. The Rays have a lineup loaded with ability, and they have one of the best starting rotations in the league.

In past seasons, an all-Florida series attracted very little attention beyond the 2 local markets. But the series may start to heat up with 2 of the Major’s youngest, skillful teams competing.

Rays manager Joe Maddonstated that everyone was attempting to turn this into a rivalry.”They’ve been better than we have in the past. They’ve already run their flag up. As we get better, I think at some point, where both teams are playing at a high level, I think you can grow it into one of those.”


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Harper Offers Looking Good Future for Nationals in MLB Probabilities

Friday, June 11th, 2010

The Washington Nationals already seem like a team which will get better versus the MLB odds.

Now that they’ll have #1 draft pick Bryce Harper, they look better yet now. He may be impacting MLB lines within a few years, and he’s nearly as hyped as Stephen Strasburg.

MLB odds still don’t prefer the Nationals that much but that is starting to shift. Strasburg was the number 1 pick last year, and he is a big piece of the Nationals future versus the MLB odds. Now the Nationals have added Harper to the mix. He is considered among the best players to arrive out of high school in a long time. Practically everyone is predicting major things for the Nationals #1 pick, although he is only 17 years old. Since 1980 there have been 6 players that have been selected as an outfielder at 18 years or even younger. Harper contributes his name to an outstanding list. The Mets took Darryl Strawberry in 1980 and Shawn Abner in 1984. The Mariners took Ken Griffey Jr. in 1987 and the Rays took Josh Hamilton in 1999 and Delmon Young in 2003.

With superb strength and a powerful outfield arm, the Nationals are already considering Harper as a number three hitter. Harper hit .443 with 31 homers and 98 RBIs in his initial college season. He was behind the plate in college but the Nationals are shifting him the outfield where he can affect MLB odds. Harper played at the College of Southern Nevada which is a Junior College. He is now the top draft pick ever out of a junior college.

The Pittsburgh Pirates had the 2nd pick in the draft, and they chose Texas high school right-handed pitcher Jameson Taillon. He was deemed the most impressive pitcher from the draft. Since Doug Drabek, an additional Texas native, the team hasn’t had a Cy Young Award-winner. They can hope that they’ll have the next one in Taillon, 18. The Baltimore Orioles picked third and took Florida high school shortstop Manny Machado. Machado has the opportunity to become the next great shortstop in Baltimore, and be the next among a lineage that includes Miguel Tejada and, of course, Cal Ripken Jr. Cal State Fullerton shortstop Christian Colon, who was the 4th pick by the Royals, may be the most Major League ready player who may affect MLB lines first. The Kansas City Royals plan for him and 2 previous first-round picks – high school third baseman Mike Moustakas and high school first baseman Eric Hosmer – to all arrive about the same time and create the infield that will help turn the long-suffering team around. Cleveland took Mississippi left-hander Drew Pomeranz when it was their turn to choose. Hopefully Pomeranz’ encounter with Cleveland will be better than Stephen Head’s.

The Nationals would like to put Harper on the lineup shortly but it might not be that simple. His manager is expected to be Scott Boras and that could mean trouble if the Nationals don’t want to pay major money. Boras got Strasburg a 4-year, $15.1 million deal last year. Harper claims he would like to play but he is not opposed to going back to Southern Nevada if necessary.


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